Quarterly Goals — Confidence Intervals

Quarterly Goals (March 2026)

Confidence	Product	Customer	Investor
50%	Notional MVP complete	Signed MOU/NDA with a customer to start building a solution to their actual problem (design partnership)	3 meetings with top VCs (Founders Fund, a16z, Thrive, etc.)
90%	MVP + MVD (minimum viable data); full MVP integrated with real data	Contract with a paying customer who has agreed to expose data (pilot)	Verbal commitment from a top VC
99%	Product deployed and running on a customer’s server	Exclusive contract inked with TSMC, NVIDIA, or USG	Term sheet signed with Founders Fund

Source: Local file — Project-TBD/Research/EOQ Synthesis/Project_TBD_Quarterly_Goals.pdf