Project TBD Q2 Goals
Quarterly Goals - Confidence Intervals
The table below captures our goals for the coming quarter across three dimensions - Product, Customer, and Investor - expressed at $50 %, 90 %$, and $99 %$ confidence levels. A higher confidence level represents a more ambitious (less likely) outcome.
| Confidence | Product | Customer | Investor |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 % | Notional MVP complete | Signed MOU / NDA with a customer to start building a solution to their actual problem (design partnership) | 3 meetings with top VCs (Founders Fund, a16z, Thrive, etc.) |
| 90 % | MVP + MVD (minimum viable data); full MVP integrated with real data | Contract with a paying customer who has agreed to expose data (pilot) | Verbal commitment from a top VC |
| 99 % | Product deployed and running on a customer’s server | Exclusive contract inked with TSMC, NVIDIA, or USG | Term sheet signed with Founders Fund |